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How ESG investment can drive a post-COVID-19 recovery in Latin America

S&P Global | 

Investments in key sustainability sectors could help to strengthen the pace of Latin America’s economic recovery in a post-COVID-19 world, though the region needs to offer more ESG-qualifying financial assets to do so, experts say.

Global funds that invest under ESG principals topped $1.7 trillion in 2020 in assets under management amid the COVID-19 crisis, according to data compiled by Morningstar. Attracting a portion of this capital could be crucial for a region that has been ravaged by the pandemic, with more than a million and a quarter deaths as of Aug. 1 and record-level GDP economic contractions in 2020 that have led to significant job losses.

The crisis is already widening socioeconomic disparities in Latin America, according to a report the Inter-American Development Bank. The region is one of the hardest hit economically, and is expected to have on average one of the world’s slowest recoveries.

Taking advantage of ESG momentum, experts say, could help both temper the negative economic impact of COVID-19 and strengthen the pace of recovery.

“ESG is an important trend for Latin America to take into account in order to attract international investors,” said Maria Netto, a green finance specialist with the Inter-American Development Bank. “Market share is very small and there is a lot of potential to grow.”

While home to the Amazon rainforest, one of the world’s most biodiverse and ecologically important areas, a fraction of the global green markets actually target Latin American assets.

Internationally, green bond markets reached $297 billion in 2020; but less than 3% of those issuances were tied to Latin America, data from Climate Bond Initiative shows. Similarly, a Bank of America survey in 2020 showed that just 0.5% of equity assets under management from Latin America foreign funds have an ESG focus; that compares to the 3% to 4% average seen in other parts of the world.

Domestic ESG investment is also anemic. Recent figures compiled by BofA suggest that in Brazil, ESG-focused equity funds manage just 7 billion reais, or a little over 1% of the country’s equity fund market as of mid-2021.

There is hope, however, that those figures can and will increase rapidly as the COVID-19 pandemic has pushed ESG awareness to the forefront.

“Asset under management in Latin America is small, but growing rapidly,” David Beker, the investment bank´s chief economist in Brazil, wrote in a recent report. “The ESG investment process has permeated into the majority of manager’s investment process in the region. Inflows are growing and have accelerated since 2019.”

For experts, there are plenty of prospects to invest in projects and companies that would help push ESG-related projects forward.

“Opportunity to do eco-business and to put value to LatAm’s large stock of natural resources is huge,” the IADB’s Netto said. A lack of funding, she argued, creates opportunities in a myriad of sectors such as sustainable agribusiness, sewerage, garbage disposal and infrastructure.

That sentiment was echoed by Principles for Responsible Investment, an UN-backed think tank. Eduardo Atehortua, the group’s Latin America head, urged governments to “prioritize the delivery of resources [and] aid for those sectors best positioned to generate quality and stable employment in the coming years,” in a recent statement. He pointed specifically to areas like renewable energies, sustainable construction, efficient water management, regenerative agriculture, protection of biodiversity and sustainable tourism.

“All these sectors are a reality and can be consolidated as driving forces of the economy in coming decades,” Atehortua said.

For potential investors, however, there is still “a problem with supply,” Gustavo Pires, a partner with Asset Management services with XP Inc, told Market Intelligence. XP, a major online brokerage firm based in Brazil, launched a series of ESG-related funds last year. It allows investors to jump in with as little as 100 reais, or roughly US$20 at current exchange rates. The goal, Pires said, is to “popularize” ESG products into something that is not exclusively geared toward “wealth” clients.

But he also noted that “when talking about assets, we don’t have a huge number of companies we can select for real ESG.”

The push to correct that has started to build. Some have warned that embracing ESG standards is not only key to attracting new capital, but also to hold onto current investors.

Last year, a group of former Brazilian presidents and Banco Central do Brasil chiefs signed a joint letter urging the government to pursue a “green recovery.” The crisis, they argued, “opens up a possibility of resuming activity and, simultaneously, building an economy more resilient to climate risks.”

“Failure to take into account sustainability frameworks might scare away investments as companies might choose to avoid a country which does not adequately respect environmental rules,” Marcel Balassiano, an economist with Brazilian think tank Getulio Vargas and a former professor, said in an interview. International asset managers have long threatened to curb their investments in Brazil should the government fail to rein in sensitive factors such as deforestation.

Beyond the immediate urgency stemming from the pandemic, experts argue that improving corporations’ long-term ESG ratings is vital for unlocking broader economic potential. The largest banks in Brazil, for instance, have inked an agreement to support sustainable development in the Amazon region, a decision analysts say could help attract investors.

“If some of the pandemic recovery efforts were directed at enhancing companies’ ESG, and especially social performance, this could stimulate economic growth,” Ben Caldecott, Director of the Oxford Sustainable Finance Programme at the British university, told Market Intelligence. “Policymakers should encourage the adoption of ESG practices by companies as such efforts can enhance long-run macroeconomic performance.”

In a recent study, Caldecott found a positive correlation between average ESG scores from companies and their native countries’ GDP performance. The report, based on countries including Brazil and Mexico, supports the argument that a green recovery could provide a number of longer-term benefits beyond the realm of environment and social issues themselves.

The overarching result of the study, he said, was that a country’s GDP per capita improved by when companies’ increased their average E, S or G scores. The governance, or G, score offered the strongest average GDP per capita gain, at 0.19% for every unit of score improvement; the per capita GDP rise for each unit of environmental or social score improvement was 0.06% and 0.10%, respectively.

“Across the sample group, an increase of firms’ ESG performance in a country is associated with a positive, statistically significant effect on living standards in that country, as measured by GDP per capita,” Caldecott said.

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