The global economy: Rising recession risks

“Growth is slowing everywhere, but it is far too soon to run for the exits. Barring a policy or other type of shock, the world economy is likely to muddle along for at least another year.” This is the conclusion of the January Forecast Flash from Global Insight by IHS Markit from Chief Economist Nariman Behravesh and Sara Johnson, Executive Director, Global Economics. The full report follows: The danger of a global economic downturn has risen, but the probability of a recession in 2019 is still low. After a brief spurt in 2017 and 2018, growth in the G7 economies is reverting to trend, and emerging markets are unlikely to come to the rescue. This process is likely to be […]

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Global Tourism Industry on Track for Full Recovery by 2024

The global tourism industry is set to reach, and possibly surpass, pre-pandemic levels by the end of 2024, according to the World Economic Forum (WEF). Five years post-COVID-19, the sector is experiencing a robust resurgence driven by a surge in international travel, improved air connectivity, and strong rebounds in key regions. However, global dynamics must be managed carefully to ensure stable and continuous growth. In 2023, international tourism reached 88% of its 2019 levels, a significant recovery favored by the reopening of Asian markets, as highlighted by the United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO). The Middle East led the way, surpassing pre-pandemic levels by around 20%, with Europe, the Americas, and Africa following close behind at approximately 90% of their […]