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Latin Outlook: Trade, FDI Drops

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Latin America's trade and FDI will likely drop by double-digits, but Brazil will likely manage to cope better than most countries.

BY JOACHIM BAMRUD


Latin Americas foreign trade -- as well as foreign direct investment in the region -- is expected to fall in 2009 as a result of the global economic crisis, experts say. However, there are big differences between individual countries, with some -- like Brazil -- faring better than others -- like Mexico.

"FDI will slow significantly, as well trade," says Jerry Haar. "However, a slowdown is not a shutdown."

Trade will likely fall by 25 percent in 2009, while FDI could fall by 40-50 percent compared to 2008, says Beatrice Rangel, president of U.S.-based AMLA Consulting.

”Trade and investment flows are likely to ebb with most countries,” says Adrean Scheid Rothkopf, Executive Vice President of the Association of American Chambers of Commerce in Latin America (AACCLA)

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